How to Handicap a Horse Race Using Pace
Things You'll Need
- Horse racing form that shows past performances
Instructions
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Figure out how the horses run. Check the most recent past performances for each horse, taking notice of how they run. Do they like to lead the race? Do they sit in a stalking position right behind the leaders? Or do they like to be in the back and come flying at the end? These are very important question to find out the answers to. Basically, horses have styles in which they like to run. If a horse’s past performances show that they are almost always in the lead for the first half of the race, you can bet that they are going to be gunning for the front in this race too. If you have a few of these horses all going for the front, you can be sure you will have a hot pace up front.
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2
Get an idea of how the first furlong or so should go. What this means is, looking at how the horses like to run, figuring out which horse or horses you think should be in the front and then who should be right behind them. If you have three horses who constantly run in the front, there is a good likelihood that all three of those contenders will be out front at the start of the race. Consequently, if you find that your race is riddled with closing horses, then a horse might be able to get an easy lead.
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Now you have to make some decisions. You have already figured out how the horses should run and where they should be after the first quarter mile. Now you need to decide how the race will be won--what style runner seems to have an edge based on how the pace will shape out. If the race has a ton of speed in it, maybe a closer can take advantage of a hot pace-battle up front, or maybe a horse will make an easy lead as the lone speed and go wire-to-wire. Now is the time to decide which type of runner will have the edge based on how fast the horses will be going up front.
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4
Now that you have made your decision, all you have left to do is bet accordingly and cash in your winning tickets!
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